Index & ETF Signals

Market risk assessment tools and tactical investment opportunities driven by curated financial insight

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 4/18 Thru 4/22Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. The "Trend Risk" column characterizes the risk of a change in the trend. "Prior Signal" column is reset following each week's close.

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend  Date

Trend Change Risk

Prior Signal; New Signal Date
 DIA  BULLISH  3/1/16 LOW  
 SPY  BULLISH 3/1/16  LOW  
 QQQ  BULLISH  3/1/16 LOW  
 IWM  BULLISH  3/1/16 LOW  
 DBA BULLISH  4/18/16 LOW  FROM BEARISH; 4/18
 GLD  BULLISH  1/21/16 MEDIUM  
 VGK BULLISH  4/7/16 LOW  
 UUP  BEARISH  3/8/16 MEDIUM  
 TLT  BULLISH  1/5/16 MEDIUM  
EEM BULLISH 3/2/16 LOW  

 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend  Date

Trend Change Risk

Prior Signal; New Signal Date
XLK  BULLISH  2/24/16 LOW FROM MEDIUM; 4/18 
XLU  BULLISH 12/16/16  MEDIUM  
XLI   BULLISH 2/18/16 LOW  
XLB  BULLISH 2/25/16 LOW  
XLV  BULLISH 3/16/16 LOW  
XLE  BULLISH 3/2/16 LOW  
XLP   BULLISH 2/11/16 MEDIUM  
XLY BULLISH 2/29/16 LOW  
XLF  BULLISH 4/14/16 LOW  
771 Hits
0 Comments

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 4/11 Thru 4/15 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. The "Trend Risk" column characterizes the risk of a change in the trend.

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend  Date

Trend Change Risk

Prior Signal; New Signal Date
 DIA  BULLISH  3/1/16  MEDIUM  
 SPY  BULLISH 3/1/16  MEDIUM  FROM LOW; 4/8
 QQQ  BULLISH  3/1/16 MEDIUM  FROM LOW; 4/11
 IWM  BULLISH  3/1/16 MEDIUM  
 DBA BEARISH  4/4/16 LOW  
 GLD  BULLISH  1/21/16 LOW  FROM MEDIUM; 4/11
 VGK BULLISH  4/7/16 LOW  from BEARISH LOW; 4/8
 UUP  BEARISH  3/8/16 LOW  
 TLT  BULLISH  1/5/16 LOW  
EEM BULLISH 3/2/16 MEDIUM  

 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend  Date

Trend Change Risk

Prior Signal; New Signal Date
XLK  BULLISH  2/24/16 MEDIUM FROM LOW; 4/8 
XLU  BULLISH 12/16/16  MEDIUM FROM LOW; 4/8 
XLI   BULLISH 2/18/16  MEDIUM  
XLB  BULLISH 2/25/16 LOW FROM MEDIUM; 4/8
XLV  BULLISH 3/16/16 LOW  
XLE  BULLISH 3/2/16 LOW FROM MEDIUM; 4/8 
XLP   BULLISH 2/11/16 MEDIUM FROM LOW; 4/11 
XLY BULLISH 2/29/16 MEDIUM FROM BEARISH; 4/8
XLF  BEARISH 3/2/16 LOW FROM BULLISH; 4/8

 

 

792 Hits
0 Comments

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 4/1 Thru 4/8 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. The "Trend Risk" column characterizes the risk of a change in the trend.

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend  Date

Trend Change Risk

Prior Signal; New Signal Date
 DIA  BULLISH  3/1/16  MEDIUM  from LOW; 4/7
 SPY  BULLISH 3/1/16   LOW  
 QQQ  BULLISH  3/1/16  LOW  
 IWM  BULLISH  3/1/16 MEDIUM  from LOW; 4/7
 DBA BEARISH  4/4/16 LOW  BULLISH HIGH; 4/4
 GLD  BULLISH  1/21/16 MEDIUM  from HIGH; 4/7
 VGK BEARISH  4/7/16 LOW  from BULLISH MEDIUM; 4/7
 UUP  BEARISH  3/8/16 LOW  
 TLT  BULLISH  1/5/16 LOW  
EEM BULLISH 3/2/16 MEDIUM  from LOW; 4/7

 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend  Date

Trend Change Risk

Prior Signal; New Signal Date
 XLK  BULLISH  2/24/16  LOW  
 XLU  BULLISH 12/16/16   LOW  
XLI   BULLISH 2/18/16  MEDIUM from LOW; 4/4 
XLB  BULLISH 2/25/16 MEDIUM from LOW; 4/4 
XLV  BULLISH 3/16/16 LOW from BEARISH HIGH; 4/4 
XLE  BULLISH 3/2/16 HIGH from MEDIUM; 4/4 
XLP   BULLISH 2/11/16 MEDIUM  
XLY  BEARISH 2/29/16 MEDIUM from LOW; 4/7 
XLF   BULLISH 3/2/16 HIGH from MEDIUM; 4/7 

 

 

765 Hits
0 Comments

3/30/2016 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. The "Trend Risk" column characterizes the risk of a change in the trend.

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend  Date

Trend Risk

Comments
 DIA  BULLISH  3/1/16  LOW  
 SPY  BULLISH 3/1/16   LOW  
 QQQ  BULLISH  3/1/16  LOW  
 IWM  BULLISH  3/1/16 LOW  MED to LOW 3/29
 DBA  BULLISH  3/4/16 MEDIUM  LOW to MED 3/28
 GLD  BULLISH  1/21/16 HIGH  
 VGK  BULLISH  3/3/16 LOW  MED to LOW 3/30
 UUP  BEARISH  3/8/16 LOW  
 TLT  BULLISH  1/5/16 LOW  
EEM BULLISH 3/2/16 LOW  

 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend  Date

Trend Risk

Comments
 XLK  BULLISH  2/24/16  LOW  
 XLU  BULLISH 12/16/16  LOW changed 3/29 
XLI   BULLISH 2/18/16  LOW  
XLB  BULLISH 2/25/16 LOW MED to LOW 3/30
XLV   BEARISH 3/16/16 MEDIUM  
XLE  BULLISH 3/2/16 MEDIUM  
XLP   BULLISH 2/11/16 LOW  
XLY  BEARISH 2/29/16 LOW  
XLF   BULLISH 3/2/16 LOW MED to LOW 3/30

 

 

1052 Hits
0 Comments

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 3/25/2016 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. The "Trend Risk" column characterizes the risk of a change in the trend.

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend  Date

Trend Risk

Comments
 DIA  BULLISH  3/1/16  LOW  
 SPY  BULLISH 3/1/16   LOW  
 QQQ  BULLISH  3/1/16  LOW  
 IWM  BULLISH  3/1/16 LOW  
 DBA  BULLISH  3/4/16 LOW  
 GLD  BULLISH  1/21/16 HIGH  
 VGK  BULLISH  3/3/16 MEDIUM  
 UUP  BEARISH  3/8/16 LOW  
 TLT  BULLISH  1/5/16 LOW  
EEM BULLISH 3/2/16 LOW  

 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend  Date

Trend Risk

Comments
 XLK  BULLISH  2/24/16  LOW  
 XLU  BULLISH 12/16/16   LOW  
XLI   BULLISH 2/18/16  LOW  
XLB  BULLISH 2/25/16 LOW  
XLV   BEARISH 3/16/16 MEDIUM  
XLE  BULLISH 3/2/16 MEDIUM  
XLP   BULLISH 2/11/16 MEDIUM  
XLY  BEARISH 2/29/16 LOW  
XLF   BULLISH 3/2/16 LOW  

 

 

735 Hits
0 Comments

Index & ETF Signals - 3/18/2016 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major ETF's below are presented along with the Top 5 timing systems that beat "buy and hold," based on a series of 40 back-tested systems and a 6-month time horizon. The timing systems are pre-defined in MetaStock based on traditional technical analysis tools and proprietary systems built by market technicians and offered in MetaStock.

Baseline Analytics provides both the TrendFlex and MetaStock signals to look for alignment in the trend's characterization.  Also useful is to observe the weekly changes in the signals, which can provide an early indication of a trend shift.

ETF TrendFlex Signal Top 5 MetaStock Signals Comments
SPY  Long 4 Long/1 Cash 

DIA Long 4 Long/1Cash

QQQ Long 4 Long/1Cash
IWM  Long 4 Long/1Cash
VGK Neutral 2 Long/1 Short/2 Cash  
EEM Neutral 3 Short/1 Long/1Cash
GLD Long 4 lLong/1 Cash 
TLT Long 4 Long/1 Cash  
UUP  Neutral 2 Long/2 Short/1 Cash
770 Hits
0 Comments

Index & ETF Signals - 3/11/2016 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major ETF's below are presented along with the Top 5 timing systems that beat "buy and hold," based on a series of 40 back-tested systems and a 6-month time horizon. The timing systems are pre-defined in MetaStock based on traditional technical analysis tools and proprietary systems built by market technicians and offered in MetaStock.

Baseline Analytics provides both the TrendFlex and MetaStock signals to look for alignment in the trend's characterization.  Also useful is to observe the weekly changes in the signals, which can provide an early indication of a trend shift.

ETF TrendFlex Signal Top 5 MetaStock Signals Comments
SPY  Long 4 Long/1 Cash 

DIA Long 4 Long/1Cash

QQQ Long 4 Long/1Cash
IWM  Long 4 Long/1Cash
VGK Neutral 1 Long/2 Short/2 Cash  
EEM Neutral 3 Short/1 Long/1Cash
GLD Long 4 lLong/1 Cash 
TLT Long 4 Long/1 Cash  
UUP  Long 3 Long/2 Short 
724 Hits
0 Comments

Index & ETF Signals - 3/04/2016 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major ETF's below are presented along with the Top 5 timing systems that beat "buy and hold," based on a series of 40 back-tested systems and a 6-month time horizon. The timing systems are pre-defined in MetaStock based on traditional technical analysis tools and proprietary systems built by market technicians and offered in MetaStock.

Baseline Analytics provides both the TrendFlex and MetaStock signals to look for alignment in the trend's characterization.  Also useful is to observe the weekly changes in the signals, which can provide an early indication of a trend shift.

ETF TrendFlex Signal Top 5 MetaStock Signals Comments
SPY  Long 4 Long/1 Cash 

DIA Long 4 Long/1Cash

QQQ Long 4 Long/1Cash
IWM  Long 4 Long/1Cash
VGK Neutral 2 Short/3 Cash  
EEM Neutral 3 Short/1 Long/1Cash
GLD Long 4 lLong/1 Cash 
TLT Long 4 Long/1 Cash  
UUP  Long 3 Long/2 Short 
724 Hits
0 Comments

Index & ETF Signals - 2/26/2016 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major ETF's below are presented along with the Top 5 timing systems that beat "buy and hold," based on a series of 40 back-tested systems and a 6-month time horizon. The timing systems are pre-defined in MetaStock based on traditional technical analysis tools and proprietary systems built by market technicians and offered in MetaStock.

Baseline Analytics provides both the TrendFlex and MetaStock signals to look for alignment in the trend's characterization.  Also useful is to observe the weekly changes in the signals, which can provide an early indication of a trend shift.

ETF TrendFlex Signal Top 5 MetaStock Signals Comments
SPY  Short  3 Short/2 Cash 

DIA Short 3 Short/2Cash

QQQ Short 3 Short/2 Cash 
IWM  Short 4 Short/1 Cash 
VGK Short 4 Short/1 Long   
EEM Short 4 Short/1 Long
GLD Long 4 lLong/1 Cash 
TLT Long 4 Long/1 Cash  
UUP  Long 3 Long/2 Short 
1001 Hits
0 Comments

Index & ETF Signals - 2/19/2016 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major ETF's below are presented along with the Top 5 timing systems that beat "buy and hold," based on a series of 40 back-tested systems and a 6-month time horizon. The timing systems are pre-defined in MetaStock based on traditional technical analysis tools and proprietary systems built by market technicians and offered in MetaStock.

Baseline Analytics provides both the TrendFlex and MetaStock signals to look for alignment in the trend's characterization.  Also useful is to observe the weekly changes in the signals, which can provide an early indication of a trend shift.

ETF TrendFlex Signal Top 5 MetaStock Signals Comments
SPY  Short  4 Short/1 Cash 

DIA Short 4 Short/1Cash

QQQ Short 4 Short/1 Cash 
IWM  Short 4 Short/1 Cash 
VGK Short 4 Short/1 Long   
EEM Short 4 Short/1 Long
GLD Long 4 lLong/1 Cash 
TLT Long 4 Long/1 Cash  
UUP  Long 3 Long/2 Short 
716 Hits
0 Comments

Index & ETF Signals - 2/12/2016 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major ETF's below are presented along with the Top 5 timing systems that beat "buy and hold," based on a series of 40 back-tested systems and a 6-month time horizon. The timing systems are pre-defined in MetaStock based on traditional technical analysis tools and proprietary systems built by market technicians and offered in MetaStock.

Baseline Analytics provides both the TrendFlex and MetaStock signals to look for alignment in the trend's characterization.  Also useful is to observe the weekly changes in the signals, which can provide an early indication of a trend shift.

ETF TrendFlex Signal Top 5 MetaStock Signals Comments
SPY  Short  4 Short/1 Cash 

DIA Short 4 Short/1Cash

QQQ Short 4 Short/1 Cash 
IWM  Short 4 Short/1 Cash 
VGK Short 4 Short/1 Long   
EEM Short 4 Short/1 Long
GLD Short 2 Short/3 Long 
TLT Long 4 Long/1 Cash  
UUP  Long 3 Long/2 Short 
772 Hits
0 Comments

Index & ETF Signals - 2/05/2016 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major ETF's below are presented along with the Top 5 timing systems that beat "buy and hold," based on a series of 40 back-tested systems and a 6-month time horizon. The timing systems are pre-defined in MetaStock based on traditional technical analysis tools and proprietary systems built by market technicians and offered in MetaStock.

Baseline Analytics provides both the TrendFlex and MetaStock signals to look for alignment in the trend's characterization.  Also useful is to observe the weekly changes in the signals, which can provide an early indication of a trend shift.

ETF TrendFlex Signal Top 5 MetaStock Signals Comments
SPY  Short  4 Short/1 Cash 

DIA Short 4 Short/1Cash

QQQ Short 4 Short/1 Cash 
IWM  Short 4 Short/1 Cash 
VGK Short 4 Short/1 Long   
EEM Short 4 Short/1 Long
GLD Short 2 Short/3 Long 
TLT Long 4 Long/1 Cash  
UUP  Long 3 Long/2 Short 
706 Hits
0 Comments

Index & ETF Signals - 1/29/2016 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major ETF's below are presented along with the Top 5 timing systems that beat "buy and hold," based on a series of 40 back-tested systems and a 6-month time horizon. The timing systems are pre-defined in MetaStock based on traditional technical analysis tools and proprietary systems built by market technicians and offered in MetaStock.

Baseline Analytics provides both the TrendFlex and MetaStock signals to look for alignment in the trend's characterization.  Also useful is to observe the weekly changes in the signals, which can provide an early indication of a trend shift.

ETF TrendFlex Signal Top 5 MetaStock Signals Comments
SPY  Short  3 Short/2 Cash 

DIA Short 4 Short/1Cash

QQQ Neutral 3 Short/2 Cash 
IWM  Short 4 Short/1 Cash 
VGK Short 4 Short/1 Long   
EEM Short 4 Short/1 Long
GLD Short 2 Short/3 Long 
TLT Long 4 Long/1 Cash  
UUP  Long 3 Long/2 Short 
689 Hits
0 Comments

Index & ETF Signals - 1/22/2016 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major ETF's below are presented along with the Top 5 timing systems that beat "buy and hold," based on a series of 40 back-tested systems and a 6-month time horizon. The timing systems are pre-defined in MetaStock based on traditional technical analysis tools and proprietary systems built by market technicians and offered in MetaStock.

Baseline Analytics provides both the TrendFlex and MetaStock signals to look for alignment in the trend's characterization.  Also useful is to observe the weekly changes in the signals, which can provide an early indication of a trend shift.

ETF TrendFlex Signal Top 5 MetaStock Signals Comments
SPY  Short  3 Short/2 Cash 

DIA Short 4 Short/1Cash

QQQ Neutral 4 Short/1 Cash 
IWM  Short 5 Short/0 Long 
VGK Short 4 Short/1 Long   
EEM Short 4 Short/1 Long
GLD Short 2 Short/3 Long 
TLT Long 4 Long/1 Cash  
UUP  Long 3 Long/2 Short 
680 Hits
0 Comments

Index & ETF Signals - 1/15/2016 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major ETF's below are presented along with the Top 5 timing systems that beat "buy and hold," based on a series of 40 back-tested systems and a 6-month time horizon. The timing systems are pre-defined in MetaStock based on traditional technical analysis tools and proprietary systems built by market technicians and offered in MetaStock.

Baseline Analytics provides both the TrendFlex and MetaStock signals to look for alignment in the trend's characterization.  Also useful is to observe the weekly changes in the signals, which can provide an early indication of a trend shift.

ETF TrendFlex Signal Top 5 MetaStock Signals Comments
SPY  Short  4 Short/1 Long 

DIA Short 4 Short/2 1ong

QQQ Neutral 3 Short/2 Long 
IWM  Short 4 Short/1 Long 
VGK Short 4 Long/1 Short   
EEM Short 4 Short/1 Long
GLD Short 2 Short/3 Long 
TLT Long 3 Long/2 Short  
UUP  Long 3 Long/2 Short 
715 Hits
0 Comments

Index & ETF Signals - 1/8/2016 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major ETF's below are presented along with the Top 5 timing systems that beat "buy and hold," based on a series of 40 back-tested systems and a 6-month time horizon. The timing systems are pre-defined in MetaStock based on traditional technical analysis tools and proprietary systems built by market technicians and offered in MetaStock.

Baseline Analytics provides both the TrendFlex and MetaStock signals to look for alignment in the trend's characterization.  Also useful is to observe the weekly changes in the signals, which can provide an early indication of a trend shift.

ETF TrendFlex Signal Top 5 MetaStock Signals Comments
SPY  Short  4 Short/1 Long 

DIA Neutral 3 Short/2 Long

QQQ Neutral 3 Short/2 Long 
IWM  Short 4 Short/1 Long 
VGK Short 4 Long/1 Short   
EEM Short 4 Short/1 Long
GLD Short 2 Short/3 Long  Short-term bounce improved Metastock signals 
TLT Long 3 Long/2 Short  
UUP  Long 3 Long/2 Short 
633 Hits
0 Comments

Index & ETF Signals - 12/31/2015 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major ETF's below are presented along with the Top 5 timing systems that beat "buy and hold," based on a series of 40 back-tested systems and a 6-month time horizon.  The timing systems are pre-defined in MetaStock based on traditional technical analysis tools and proprietary systems built by market technicians and offered in MetaStock.

Baseline Analytics provides both the TrendFlex and MetaStock signals to look for alignment in the trend's characterization.  Also useful is to observe the weekly changes in the signals, which can provide an early indication of a trend shift.

ETF TrendFlex Signal Top 5 MetaStock Signals Comments
SPY  Neutral  2 Short/3 Long 

DIA Neutral 3 Short/2 Long

QQQ Neutral 2 Short/3 Long 
IWM  Neutral 2 Short/3 Long 
VGK Short 2 Long/3 Short   
EEM Short 4 Short/1 Long
GLD Short 4 Short/1 Long 
TLT Long 3 Long/2 Short  
UUP  Long 3 Long/2 Short 
671 Hits
0 Comments

Index & ETF Signals - 12/24/2015 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major ETF's below are presented along with the Top 5 timing systems that beat "buy and hold," based on a series of 40 back-tested systems and a 6-month time horizon.  The timing systems are pre-defined in MetaStock based on traditional technical analysis tools and proprietary systems built by market technicians and offered in MetaStock.

Baseline Analytics provides both the TrendFlex and MetaStock signals to look for alignment in the trend's characterization.  Also useful is to observe the weekly changes in the signals, which can provide an early indication of a trend shift.

ETF TrendFlex Signal Top 5 MetaStock Signals Comments
SPY  Neutral  2 Short/3 Long 

DIA Neutral 3 Short/2 Long

QQQ Neutral 2 Short/1 Long 
IWM  Neutral 2 Short/3 Long 
VGK Short 2 Long/3 Short   
EEM Short 4 Short/1 Long
GLD Short 4 Short/2 Long 
TLT Long 3 Long/2 Short  
UUP  Neutral 3 Long/2 Short 
646 Hits
0 Comments

Index & ETF Signals - 12/18/2015 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major ETF's below are presented along with the Top 5 timing systems that beat "buy and hold," based on a series of 40 back-tested systems and a 6-month time horizon.  The timing systems are pre-defined in MetaStock based on traditional technical analysis tools and proprietary systems built by market technicians and offered in MetaStock.

Baseline Analytics provides both the TrendFlex and MetaStock signals to look for alignment in the trend's characterization.  Also useful is to observe the weekly changes in the signals, which can provide an early indication of a trend shift.

ETF TrendFlex Signal Top 5 MetaStock Signals Comments
SPY  Neutral  2 Short/3 Long 

DIA Neutral 3 Short/2 Long

QQQ Neutral 3 Short/2 Long 
IWM  Neutral 2 Short/3 Long 
VGK Short 2 Long/3 Short   
EEM Short 4 Short/1 Long
GLD Short 4 Short/2 Long 
TLT Long 3 Long/2 Short  
UUP  Neutral 3 Long/2 Short 
629 Hits
0 Comments

Index & ETF Signals - 12/11/2015 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major ETF's below are presented along with the Top 5 timing systems that beat "buy and hold," based on a series of 40 back-tested systems and a 6-month time horizon.  The timing systems are pre-defined in MetaStock based on traditional technical analysis tools and proprietary systems built by market technicians and offered in MetaStock.

Baseline Analytics provides both the TrendFlex and MetaStock signals to look for alignment in the trend's characterization.  Also useful is to observe the weekly changes in the signals, which can provide an early indication of a trend shift.

ETF TrendFlex Signal Top 5 MetaStock Signals Comments
SPY  Neutral  2 Short/3 Long 

DIA Long 2 Short/3 Long

QQQ Long 2 Short/3 Long 
IWM  Neutral 2 Short/3 Long 
VGK Short 2 Long/3 Short   
EEM Short 4 Short/1 Long
GLD Short 4 Short/2 Long 
TLT Long 3 Long/2 Short  
UUP  Neutral 3 Long/2 Short 
614 Hits
0 Comments