Market risk assessment tools and tactical investment opportunities driven by curated financial insight
TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend.
Major Index ETF's
Trend Change Risk
|DIA||Bullish||Med||Breakout to new high|
|GLD||Bullish||Low||Positive moving average cross; long run potential|
|VGK||Bullish||Low||Positive momentum; firm uptrend|
|UUP||Bullish||Low||Modest retracement; attractive entry|
|TLT||Bearish||Med||Testing December lows|
|EEM||Bullish||Low||Rallying to new highs|
Sector SPDR ETF's
Trend Change Risk
|XLU||Bullish||Hi||Consolidating recent gains; looking to resume uptrend|
|XLB||Bullish||Low||Strong bullish trend forming; attractive entry|
|XLV||Bullish||Low||Returning to an uptrend|
|XLP||Bullish||Low||Uptrend firming; attractive entry|
The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list.
|EWI||iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed||22.13||12/02/16|
|XLY||Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point||81.44||12/02/16|
|XLV||Post-election catch-up; nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)||70.49||11/11/16|
Allocation Strategy is updated on a bi-weekly basis, and takes a longer-term view consistent with the TrendFlex Allegiance system. Allocations are based on a blend of macro-economic trends and technical analysis, and incorporate the insight of our Thought Leaders as expressed on the Baseline Analytics website, and our ETF Signals analysis. Portfolio allocation corresponds to an investor profile of moderate risk and a 20-year investment horizon. Updates to Asset Allocation may be issued more frequently depending on market conditions.