TrendFlex Score & TrendFlex Signals for 9/29/2017


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TrendFlex Credit Risk Premium Signals (CR)

There was no change to the TrendFlex Classic and Allegiance signals this week. The Classic CR signal has been worsening, as can be seen in the pop-up chart below. 

TrendFlex Signal Trend  Date  Return

S&P 500  Return

S&P 500 timing signals based on credit risk (CR) premiums (corporate vs.Treasury debt). 
TrendFlex Classic CR Long 9/14/17 +1.00% +1.00%
TrendFlex Allegiance CR Long 4/13/16 +24.8% +24.8%
Historic Performance        


TrendFlex Score

The TrendFlex Score decreased from 1.53 to 1.22 to and remains below its three-week moving average, The TrendFlex Score is at a level that in the past has preceded setbacks in equities.



TrendFlex Trend Following Signals (TF)

The TrendFlex Classic TF and Allegiance signals remain in Uptrend.    

TrendFlex Signal Trend  Date  Return

S&P 500  Return


S&P 500 timing signals based on a weighted score of US Market technical indicators. Classic (short-term) and Allegiance (intermediate to long term).  Score:  Bullish = 1.0-1.75; Neutral = 1.75-2.25; Bearish = 2.25-3.0

TrendFlex Classic TF  Uptrend  9/14/17



+1.00% 1.0
TrendFlex Allegiance TF Uptrend 5/31/16 +20.0% +20.0% 1.0
Historic Performance          


Baseline Analytics Extremes

Baseline Analytics Extremes highlights four key TrendFlex Indicators and their level of extreme readings.  The key indicators include the following:

  1. CBOE VIX and Put/Call Ratio
  2. TED Spread
  3. LQD vs. S&P 500 GAP reading

When one or more of these indicators has reached an extreme reading, chart and commentary will follow. The VIX and LQD extreme indicators are at extremes.





The Portfolio Strategies chart remains bullish, with an edge toward risk-aversion.    


Portfolio Strategies*
Reduce Longs
 Sell Calls
 Hedge Longs
Set Stops on Longs
Short Overbought Equities
 Add to Longs
Sell Puts
Hedge or Reduce Shorts
 Long Futures and Options

 *Red highlighted items are recommended strategies


Index & Sector ETF Signals - 10/06/2017 Update
Index & Sector ETF Signals - 9/29/2017 Update

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